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NHL Season Preview by Mark Lehtonen

NHL 2025-26: Season Preview

By Mark Lehtonen · 7 October 2025

The puck drops on 7 October as the NHL returns for another thrilling season. With 32 teams lining up, it’s time to take a closer look at who might surprise, who could disappoint, and which storylines are set to define the year ahead.

Washington Capitals: Ovechkin’s new target

Alex Ovechkin keeps rewriting the book. After 44 goals last term despite a broken leg and 17 games missed, the focus now is a tidy milestone: 40 goals at 40 years old, taking him to 937 career goals.

The Capitals remain a balanced outfit, with depth throughout the roster and a reliable system that has kept them competitive.

Tampa Bay Lightning: regular-season machine

The core of Andrei Vasilevskiy, Victor Hedman, Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point still screams elite. Tampa topped the league in goals scored last season and ranked fourth in defence.

With rivals in the Atlantic Division showing inconsistency, Tampa have every chance to claim top spot again. Expected finish: around 109 points and first place in the division.

Chicago Blackhawks: lessons through setbacks

The rebuild is real, and it hurts. With heavy minutes for youngsters, losses are part of the process. A few prospects will pop, most will need time.

Expected finish: bottom of the table but strong odds for a top draft pick in 2026.

Minnesota Wild: time for a step forward

Injuries to Kirill Kaprizov and Joel Eriksson Ek skewed last season. Healthy, the Wild looked like a top-five team in the West. The roster is settled, there’s cap breathing room, and youngsters are coming.

Expected finish: ~100 points and a first series win since 2015.

Boston Bruins: caught between eras

Last season’s slide was a warning. The post-Marchand attack lacks top-end punch, and Jeremy Swayman still has to meet the standard of his contract.

Expected finish: bubble team, roughly 95-97 points, margin for error thin in the Atlantic.

New York Rangers: careful adjustments

Mike Sullivan replaces Peter Laviolette and Vladislav Gavrikov bolsters the blue line, but losing Chris Kreider and K’Andre Miller could bite more than expected.

It hinges on Igor Shesterkin rediscovering peak form. Expected finish: ~100 points, steady rather than spectacular.

Edmonton Oilers: all eyes on Connor

Connor McDavid isn’t going anywhere. The only debate is short-term flexibility vs a longer commitment. Either way, with McDavid on the ice, the ceiling is sky-high.

Expected finish: 109-111 points and among the West’s top contenders.

Florida Panthers: wear and tear showing

Three straight Finals have a cost. Florida still have the star power and structure, but after so much hockey the edges dull.

Expected finish: ~104 points and a safe play-off place, but repeating deep runs is a big ask.

Montreal Canadiens: steady climb

Nick Suzuki’s 89 points, Cole Caufield’s 37 goals and growth from Juraj Slafkovsky set the platform. With added balance from Noah Dobson and Zach Bolduc, Montreal look more complete.

Expected finish: a meaningful step forward, firmly in the play-off conversation.

Philadelphia Flyers: Michkov’s moment

Matvei Michkov posted 63 points as a rookie. With greater trust and freedom, the next leap is on.

Expected finish: around 40 goals and confirmation as Philadelphia’s new star.

Pittsburgh Penguins: the captain stays

Sidney Crosby intends to see out his deal in Pittsburgh through 2027. Evgeni Malkin could explore a move for one last big push, but the bond with the Penguins stays strong.

Stanley Cup Final Prediction: Carolina vs Vegas

If there’s a team built for the decisive moment, it’s the Carolina Hurricanes - elite leaders in Sebastian Aho and Seth Jarvis, true depth, young legs, and cap space to strengthen late in the season.
The most likely opponent: the Vegas Golden Knights.

Prediction: Carolina will win the Stanley Cup.

Written by Mark Lehtonen · 7 October 2025

Coach Mark Lehtonen

Coach Mark – Start of the Season | IceHockeyMan

Coach Mark Lehtonen- Start of the Season

Coach Mark Lehtonen

A focused plan, a proven philosophy, and the Coach’s Database.

Friends,

Last season was a strong one for our team, and I’m grateful for your support throughout the year. Our Premium archive reflects the consistency we built together. A new season, however, is a clean slate: hockey remains a game of speed, structure, and surprises. Great stretches will come – and difficult days will come too. What matters is how we prepare and how we respond.

Our Early-Season Approach

In the opening phase, information evolves quickly – line chemistry, special teams, goaltending rhythm, coaching adjustments. To respect that volatility, our framework stays disciplined:

  • Context: roster changes, travel, schedule density, and back-to-backs.
  • Systems view: forecheck layers, neutral-zone structure, special-teams usage.
  • Game states: pace control, quality OZ time, situational play.
  • Goaltending: rebound control, performance bands, expected goals against.

As you’ve already seen, I’m publishing free match breakdowns daily, and the start has been encouraging.

The Coach’s Database – Our Edge

My signature advantage is a living Coach’s Database built over years: scouting notes, video cuts, and behavioral patterns of coaching staffs across leagues. It helps us read games not only through numbers but through coaching intent.

How we use it

  1. Preparation & context: early-season substitution habits; trust in youth; how staffs handle dense travel and whether they stretch to four lines or shorten the bench late.
  2. Systems & structure: preferred forecheck schemes (1-2-2, 2-1-2, 1-1-3), neutral-zone traps, entry methods (controlled vs. dump), D activation rules, and PP/PK templates.
  3. Situational behavior: protecting leads vs. pressing; timeout timing and purpose; home line-matching versus elite opponent lines; post-goal momentum management; risk tolerance after swings.
  4. Goaltender policy: thresholds for pulls; back-to-back usage; adjustments versus traffic-heavy or east-west opponents; stick activity against seam plays.

The database updates in real time as the season unfolds – from micro-adjustments in the third period to temporary specialist pairings on 3-on-3, shootouts, and 6-on-5.

When Premium Returns

Premium resumes once teams across the major leagues have played at least two games. Long-time members know why: that’s when pre-season noise gives way to actionable signals – line usage stabilizes, special teams settle, and we can separate genuine form from variance.

Until then, follow the Premium archive and the free section to see our methodology in action.

IHM ACADEMY Begins

This season we are launching IHM ACADEMY – a structured learning track that goes beyond daily breakdowns. Topics include tactics and systems, terminology with practical on-ice context, training and preparation, health and recovery, and the mental side of the game. The goal is to give you tools that last well beyond a single season.

Closing Thoughts

Thank you for being part of IceHockeyMan. We’ll navigate the early chaos, lock into rhythm, and keep growing together. This season will bring highs and challenges – our principles remain the same: discipline, preparation, and steady progress.

- Coach Mark


A Note for Those Who Use Our Analysis Deeper

If you choose to engage with our work beyond simple viewing, keep it measured and consistent. Treat it as a hobby within a pre-set personal limit. A steady unit size – for example, 5-10% of your discretionary budget – helps avoid overreactions. Use only what you’re comfortable parting with. Our aim is to help you stay disciplined so your passion for hockey never turns into a burden.

See also: Q&A with Coach Mark - Your Questions, My Answers